The Best Long Shot Bet in Horse Racing Handicapping

If you have the ability to watch the pools and spot inside money it is also helpful to know if the barn is betting that longshot.

But when a longshot does win, somebody cashes tickets on that winner. Figure out why the horse you circled is now a long shot if it has indeed proven itself capable of winning a race such as today’s race. This is the single most important clue to finding a good bet on a horse going off at long odds. Do you ever wonder who had the horse and if it is all the people who just play their lucky number? Does it ever occur to you that someone actually looked at the racing program and picked that horse to win for a reason?

It is amazing how many times you will find a race where the favorite has not done what is being asked of it but another horse, going off at long odds, has done it. The goal of playing the ponies is to make money, a profit. Since horses go in and out of form and also respond to training and equipment changes, any horse that once managed to do what is being asked of it today should be considered a threat especially when the favorite is vulnerable.

There is no one single formula for finding good long shot bets, but there are a few clues.

Next, look at each one of these racers and see if it has ever won at the distance, on the same surface, and at the same class level or higher. Handicapping horse races for profit and trying to make money betting on races is hard enough without going after those horses who seem so unlikely to win.

It does happen sometimes, but before you declare that person a genius, find out if he or she is ahead on his or her bets. Now comes the tricky part. Is it coming back from a long layoff? Does its form seem to have tapered off?

. So the real secret to making money on longshots is finding a person who can spot a good longshot bet in the racing form or program and then make money from the bet.

Every day, at race tracks all over the world, people are surprised when horses win races even though the horse has done it before under the same conditions. Once you have identified horses that have proven they can win at the distance, surface, and level, find out if the horse who is the likely favorite in the race has done the same thing.

While most people would agree, after a few trips to the horse races, that long shot bets are where the money is, however, after losing money trying to win a few, most will agree they are also difficult to hit. Now circle each horse that qualifies. Before the races, go through the racing form and find every horse that is in the morning line at 10-1 or higher.

What you are trying to find out is if that horse can improve today and also if the favorite is a false favorite

British Open winner Stewart Cink | Reuters

* Turned pro in 1995, already married and a father.


* Reached fifth in the world rankings in July 2008 after another Travelers Championship triumph the previous month.

* A Ryder Cup regular since 2002, Cink has played 15 matches, winning four and losing seven.

(Compiled by Tom Pilcher; Editing by Sonia Oxley)

* By beating 59-year-old compatriot Tom Watson in a playoff, Cink claimed his first major title at the British Open.

* Best year was 2004, when Cink won the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational and finished fifth on the money list.

* Born May 21, 1973, in Huntsville, Alabama.


* His tour debut in 1997 yielded a win at the Travelers Championship.


TOUR SUCCESS. Factbox on American Stewart Cink, who on Sunday won his first major championship by claiming the British Open in Turnberry, Scotland:

* Took up the game as a youngster when his parents, single-digit handicappers, left him at the driving range as he was not old enough to go on the course

Role of a Sports Handicapper

It is one thing to win a wager; it is another to win wagers at the optimum level. This means that the best handicapperswill rate their selections so that you can see just how much you should wager on their selections.If something only has a marginal chance of occurring, you would not want to wager as much onit as you would something that has much better odds.


A good handicapper does not necessarily need to be a fan of the sport you wish to bet upon. Anyonecan pick who will win a sporting event; not everyone can do it correctly the required 53 percentof the time to beat the spread.

A sports handicapper’s job is to make other people money. In reality, this is far from the truth. If someone is a big Boston Celticsfan, they would have been more inclined to have bet the Celtics to win the NBA Championshiplast year, even though the Lakers had every advantage. Handicapping is a difficulttask, even for the best ones. If you want to bet on football, the handicapper you choose should have a wealthof knowledge and statistics to fall back upon in order to help them make better selections.The statistics that are used can be extremely important. They should either have a record posted on their web site, or better yet, with anindependent web site. As you know, the Lakers went on to win,causing many Celtics fans to question their betting strategies.

It is important that any sports handicapper you may choose to buy picks from has a proventrack record. A goodhandicapper needs to see through these things and pick out the factors that are salient to the gameyou have in mind.

Finally, a sports handicapper must practice good money management skills. Thismight sound contradictory to the first point, but a good handicapper does not have to actuallyenjoy the sports they analyze. This is not easy, but you would befooled by the amount of sports handicappers out there. Sometimes it seems like everyone claimsto be a successful handicapper. There are many meaningless stats outthere that are quoted on television or on the radio as a deciding factor within a game. Still, people looking to make a quick dollar will pose as talentedhandicappers only to end up losing money for you over the long run while they make a few easybucks.

Regardless of the sport you wish to wager on, the handicapper you choose should have a deepinsight into it. This is a sure sign that the handicapper takes their job seriously. Sure, it helps keep the activity more interesting for sports fans,but being a fan can actually be deceiving to a handicapper